エヌビディア、半導体混調の中で弱気な上昇基調

정휘 記者
New York Stock Market
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On July 15 local time, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) closed trading at $212.50 on the New York stock market, up 0.33% from the previous day. Despite the broader selloff in technology stocks, the leading artificial intelligence (AI) semiconductor company maintained some firmness as a market leader. This is interpreted as a result of steady demand in the AI market and strategic investments working together.

On July 15 local time, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), a leading artificial intelligence (AI) semiconductor company, closed trading at $212.50 on the New York stock market, up 0.33% from the previous day. This is interpreted as a relatively strong performance supported by robust demand in the AI market despite some selling pressure across technology stocks in general. As analysis suggests that Apple and Google masked the declines of other semiconductor companies in the Dow Jones futures market that day, NVIDIA's modest gains suggest that the current market is selectively supporting key AI-related companies.

Analysis suggests that NVIDIA Corporation's modest uptick is not unrelated to recent news that the company invested $2 billion in a company helping to develop alternative NVLink technology. This is interpreted as a strategic move that goes beyond strengthening its own technology ecosystem to prepare for future competitive environments and resolve potential technology bottlenecks. This investment demonstrates that NVIDIA, as a key company in building AI infrastructure, is pursuing innovation and growth from a long-term perspective. As prospects emerge that cloud computing company CoreWeave could receive a valuation of $1 trillion, the explosive growth potential of the data center and AI infrastructure market continues to provide sustained momentum to NVIDIA's core business areas.

However, the background for NVIDIA Corporation's stock price failing to show significant gains is underlain by continued uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment and vigilance regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance. Persistent inflationary pressures and the resulting possibility of interest rate hikes are prompting investors to take a cautious approach to high-growth technology stocks. In particular, selling pressure from some semiconductor-related companies such as Dell, SanDisk, and Micron indicates that there are conflicting views on the industry as a whole, and NVIDIA is also not completely immune to this broad market sentiment. On Wall Street, voices are growing that as expectations for interest rate cuts weaken, valuation burdens on growth stocks in general are mounting.

Nevertheless, there are also critical views on Wall Street that NVIDIA Corporation's current stock price already reflects a substantial portion of high future growth expectations. The company has experienced sharp stock price increases in recent years, and there are indications that optimism about AI technology has become excessively elevated. Some analysts have warned that while there is no disagreement that the "AI boom will continue long-term, one should not overlook downward pressure on stock prices given the possibility of companies moderating their data center investment pace or the persistence of macroeconomic uncertainty." Additionally, competitors' efforts to develop AI chips and big tech companies' moves toward in-house chip design could pose potential threats to NVIDIA's monopolistic position.

A Goldman Sachs analyst noted that "while NVIDIA Corporation's dominance in the AI semiconductor market remains overwhelming, it will be difficult to justify the high valuation unless continuous innovation and investment are secured given intensifying competition and the pace of technological change," calling for the company's strategic response from a long-term perspective. NVIDIA Corporation's future stock price momentum will depend on the actual growth rate of the AI market as well as how successfully the company maintains its competitive advantage through new technology investment and ecosystem expansion. According to technical analysis, the $200 level may act as a strong support line, and the short-term resistance line is expected to form around $220. Over the medium to long term, AI ecosystem expansion and new technology investment results are expected to serve as key drivers of stock price increases.

[Investment Caution] The data and analysis provided in this article are reference information only based on market conditions and do not guarantee returns on specific stocks or recommend buying or selling. All final investment decisions and responsibilities lie with the investor.

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