엔비디아, 메모리 반도체 약세에 급락…시장 우려 증폭

New York Stock Exchange
[Photo=Getty Images]

On July 27th local time in New York, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), a leading AI semiconductor stock, closed sharply lower amid concerns about a slowdown in the memory semiconductor industry. NVIDIA's closing price fell 4.99% from the previous day to $196.51, casting anxiety over Wall Street. The dominant analysis suggests that the synchronized weakness among memory semiconductor companies weighed down NVIDIA's stock.

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) stock fell sharply by -$10.33 (-4.99%) on July 27th local time, closing at $196.51. This contrasts with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing higher on the back of declining international crude oil prices, suggesting that specific concerns related to NVIDIA's individual stock and related industry sectors drove the price decline. Notably, SanDisk, a major memory semiconductor company, plummeted more than 11% due to concerns about weakness in the memory market, which is interpreted as having a directly negative impact on NVIDIA's stock price. Given that NVIDIA heavily relies on cutting-edge memory technologies such as high-bandwidth memory (HBM), which is essential for manufacturing high-performance AI chips, the overall weakness in the memory semiconductor market heightened investor vigilance regarding NVIDIA's profitability and growth potential.

NVIDIA has been continuing efforts to strengthen its leadership in the AI field by investing in AI startups recently. In fact, NVIDIA demonstrated its commitment to long-term AI ecosystem expansion by investing in Ilya Sutskever's AI startup, but this positive news was insufficient to prevent the stock's decline that day. This shows that the market is currently more sensitive to short-term industry conditions and macroeconomic variables than NVIDIA's future growth potential. Some analysts have also raised concerns that valuation burdens are increasingly mounting following the steep rise in AI-related stocks, and debates over the valuation of AI-based companies like NVIDIA and Snowflake are intensifying.

Wall Street has noted that NVIDIA's stock price has commanded a high premium as a leader in the artificial intelligence revolution, but concerns about overvaluation due to rapid short-term gains have been consistently raised. Along with observations that the current price level has already priced in all conceivable positive scenarios, there is a growing trend of conservative views that the stock could react sensitively to unexpected adverse developments. This perspective has been reflected in reports from major investment banks. A representative from a major investment bank stated, "NVIDIA's innovation capability and market dominance are beyond doubt, but the current stock price presumes near-perfect performance and macroeconomic environment," and warned that "if macro variables such as uncertainty in the memory semiconductor market and the possibility of interest rate hikes come to the fore, short-term volatility expansion is inevitable." Additionally, geopolitical risks such as intensifying U.S.-China technological competition continue to weigh on global semiconductor companies including NVIDIA.

NVIDIA's future stock price movement is expected to be heavily dependent on when the memory semiconductor industry recovers and whether macroeconomic uncertainty is resolved. The outlook for continued advancement in artificial intelligence technology remains intact in the long term, but in the short term, the possibility of continued investor sentiment deterioration cannot be ruled out. From a technical analysis perspective, NVIDIA's next major support level is suggested to be around $190, and if this level breaks, additional downward pressure could intensify. Meanwhile, the resistance level for a short-term recovery is observed at the $205 mark. The market is watching whether the current decline is merely a correction or the beginning of a deeper bear market.

[Investment Caution] The data and analysis provided in this article are reference information only based on market conditions and do not guarantee returns on specific stocks or recommend buying or selling. All final investment decisions and responsibilities rest solely with the investor.

Авторское право © JKN. Несанкционированное воспроизведение или распространение запрещено.

엔비디아, 메모리 반도체 약세에 급락…시장 우려 증폭 : 해외증시 : JKN