Barclays "SK Hynix ADR has potential to double"...target price set at $330

윤근일 Reporter

British investment bank Barclays has issued an optimistic outlook that SK Hynix's American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) could more than double over the next year.

Dominance in the high-bandwidth memory (HBM) market, long-term memory supply shortages, and abundant cash flow were cited as key factors driving up corporate value. The market responded immediately, with SK Hynix ADR shares surging 27% in a single day.

▲ Barclays Sets Target Price of $330…Forecasts 117% Upside Potential

According to Investing.com, a financial news outlet, Barclays initiated coverage of SK Hynix ADRs on the 14th (local time), issuing an "Overweight" investment rating and setting a target price of $330.

This represents approximately 117% above the previous day's closing price of $152.35. Market observers noted that the aggressive target price from a major Wall Street investment bank has raised expectations for SK Hynix's global competitiveness.

▲ ADR Surges 27% Following Report Release

The market also responded positively to Barclays' analysis.

SK Hynix ADRs closed at $193.92 on the New York Stock Exchange on the 14th, up 27% from the previous trading day.

Large buying demand flowed in as investor sentiment, which had been dampened by recent adjustments in AI-related semiconductor stocks, recovered rapidly.

▲ Prolonged Memory Supply Shortage Expected…Price Increases Anticipated

Barclays forecasts that structural supply shortages in the memory semiconductor market will persist for years to come.

The report states, "Memory industry supply shortages will intensify in 2027 and show limited improvement in 2028," adding that "continued supply shortages are likely to drive both memory price increases and expansion of corporate revenues simultaneously."

This was interpreted as meaning that a long-term growth phase could continue due to structural industry changes rather than simply economic recovery.

▲ HBM Competitiveness and Improved Profitability Expected

Barclays highlighted SK Hynix's competitiveness in the HBM market as the most important investment point.

The report assessed that gross profit margins are likely to improve further in the short term based on HBM price increases and high market share.

It also forecasted that next year, as product mix improvements centered on HBM gain momentum, revenue growth could exceed market expectations.

▲ Abundant Cash…Expectations for Share Buybacks Also Reflected

Shareholder return policies were also cited as factors in corporate value appreciation.

Barclays expects SK Hynix to hold cash exceeding 40% of its current market capitalization by the end of next year.

Analysts noted that if large-scale share buybacks become possible based on this cash position, per-share value could increase and shareholder return policies could be strengthened.

SK Hynix Logo
SK Hynix Logo(Photo : [Reuters/Yonhapnews provided])

▲ Expanded Global Investor Interest Following Nasdaq Listing

SK Hynix began trading on Nasdaq through ADR listing on the 10th.

The offering size was $26.5 billion (approximately 39.447 trillion won), making it the second-largest offering in the U.S. market after SpaceX's initial public offering (IPO).

With the Nasdaq listing, accessibility for global institutional investors has increased significantly, and expansion of overseas capital inflow is expected.

▲ U.S. Semiconductor Recovery and Strong Performance of Asian Technology Stocks

The rebound in U.S. semiconductor stocks also supported SK Hynix's upward momentum.

According to CNBC, SK Hynix surged over 11% in Asian stock markets on the 15th, leading the technology stock rally.

The rebound was analyzed as a result of investor sentiment recovering rapidly following the record single-day decline recorded at the beginning of the week due to concerns about slowing AI investment and profit-taking.

▲ U.S. Semiconductor Stock Recovery Improves Investment Sentiment

The strong performance of Asian technology stocks was greatly influenced by the recovery of the U.S. semiconductor sector.

The Van Eck Semiconductor ETF, which reflects U.S. semiconductor sector trends, rose 2.5%.

Micron Technology and Lam Research each rose approximately 5%, while Applied Materials and Teradyne rose more than 3%, playing a role in recovering global semiconductor investment sentiment.

▲ AI Growth Expectations and Overheating Concerns Coexist

However, the market also raised concerns about overheating in AI semiconductors.

Jordan Tsvetanovsky, chairman and chief investment officer (CIO) of Pella Funds, diagnosed that while demand for AI infrastructure investment remains solid, the market is showing signs of speculative behavior.

In a CNBC interview, he noted that companies' AI computing infrastructure investments continue to expand, but the recent high volatility is a typical signal suggesting that AI-related stocks could face significant corrections in the future.

▲ Focus on Long-Term Growth Beyond Short-Term Rebound

The market believes that in the short term, the rebound in U.S. semiconductor stocks and recovery in AI investment sentiment are likely to support SK Hynix's stock price.

Over the medium to long term, expansion of HBM market dominance, memory supply shortages, and stable cash generation capabilities are identified as key variables determining corporate value.

On the other hand, analysts note that as high expectations for AI-related stocks have already been reflected to a significant degree in stock prices, whether future earnings and demand increases can meet market expectations will be the critical factor for further gains.

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Barclays "SK Hynix ADR has potential to double"...target price set at $330 : 금융 : JKN