Choi Tae-won "Semiconductor demand next year will surge at least 50%...the whole world is in chaos"

정휘 Reporter
Chey Tae-won
[Photo=Yonhapnews]
Chey Tae-won, chairman of the Korea Chamber of Commerce and Industry, compared the global memory semiconductor supply crisis to "chaos," emphasizing that building factories wherever possible has become a lifeline for Korea's semiconductor industry.

At a press conference held on the 19th during the Korea Chamber of Commerce and Industry Jeju Forum in Jeju, Chairman Chey stated, "Even limiting it to just the AI sector, demand is expected to increase by at least 60-100% next year compared to this year, and looking at semiconductors overall, we should expect an increase of at least 50-60% or more." Meanwhile, he characterized the increase in supply next year as "virtually none," diagnosing that the supply-demand gap will inevitably widen far more than this year.

Regarding the severity of the supply crisis, he said, "It's not just companies but governments of each country that have national security issues at stake. Production only moves when we secure memory semiconductors and distribute them to companies," adding, "We're facing enormous lobbying and pressure." He further warned, "For now it's companies facing pressure, but going forward, there's a high likelihood that governments will also begin experiencing pressure from other governments." Regarding U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's request for investment in America, he calmly responded, "We've been saying the same thing all along. Nothing new about it."

Accordingly, Chairman Chey identified accelerating expansion speed and scale as top priorities. "We need to build not only in Honam but also in the United States if possible. We need to search the entire world, prioritize where we can build fastest and largest, and construct quickly—this has become like a lifeline," he emphasized.

Regarding concerns that rapid supply expansion could lead to an early end of the supercycle, he firmly pushed back. "Current prices are abnormal. They need to fall," he said, adding, "If chipflation intensifies, we'll inevitably take a hit. We can only maintain and develop Korea's semiconductor industry while protecting and growing the market."

As the next field expected to face bottlenecks after memory semiconductors, he pointed to materials and construction. "As AI develops, even electrical wire materials will run out, and undersea cables are already in short supply," he explained, adding, "Construction is also difficult as specifications change every 1-2 years."

Regarding the 1 quadrillion won-scale AI data center construction plan, he expressed confidence that there are no issues with financing and securing customers. "The fact that we're building already means there are customers. Projects only begin when there are minimum 5-year, maximum 15-year long-term contracts in place," he explained. He further evaluated this project as "almost the first step toward an electrified society," and added that since renewables alone are insufficient, all forms of base load power generation, including nuclear energy, must be considered.

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Choi Tae-won "Semiconductor demand next year will surge at least 50%...the whole world is in chaos" : 경제일반 : JKN